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  • Global LNG Outlook 2018

    BNEF’s long-term forecast of LNG markets to 2030.

    BNEF’s long-term forecast of LNG markets to 2030.

    Overview

    Our Global LNG Outlook examines the latest trends in the global Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) market, identifies the key drivers to changing market dynamics, forecasts the world’s LNG demand and supply to 2030, and explores their impact on LNG contracts and pricing.

    The 2H 2018 edition of the outlook reviews the market development in 1H 2018, and updates our long-term forecast on global LNG demand and supply to 2030. We take into account various factors which include, but are not limited to, the following: power market liberalization, cost competition between gas and other energy sources, infrastructure development, contracts and pricing mechanisms, buyer & seller’s commercial behaviors, and carbon tax and carbon emission targets.

    Get the public version of the 2H 2018 report.

    “Imports of LNG will set a new record this year on the back of a robust 8.5% growth, according to our research. The rate of growth will slow from 2019 and further in 2020, before picking up again in 2021. While Asia will play a more dominant role in driving LNG demand, long-term demand growth in Europe will be challenged by competition from renewables and batteries.”

    2H 2018 Highlights

    1

    Record LNG demand growth in 2018

    Imports of LNG will set a new record this year on the back of a robust 8.5% growth, reaching 308MMtpa, up from 284MMtpa in 2017. Half of the 24MMtpa of growth will come from China and the remainder largely from Japan, South Korea and India.
    2

    Followed by a demand slowdown on the horizon

    This demand growth will slow down during 2020-21, when Japan restarts its ninth nuclear plant and Russian pipeline gas starts to supply China. However, any global supply surplus after 2019 is likely to be modest and brief.
    3

    U.S. export capacity will double by 2030

    The growth of demand in Asia and a further drive to cut U.S. LNG costs will likely lead to some new sales and purchase agreements for U.S. LNG. About 90MMtpa of ‘likely’ FIDs in the next few years are from North America, mostly in the Gulf of Mexico.
    4

    Reignited developer interest in LNG supply projects

    104MMtpa of new capacity will be added globally until 2021. Post-FID (final investment decision) capacity is expected to peak at 392MMtpa in 2021, providing sufficient supply to meet demand to 2025.

    Download

    High-level findings of the 2H LNG Outlook 2018 are available in a free public report:

    Click to read Global LNG Outlook 2H 2018


    BNEF clients can access the full Global LNG Outlook report, related charts and datasets, and previous editions on?web?or on the?Terminal.

    Related content

     

    October 5 2018

    BNEF Brief: The Lifeline to Canada’s Gas Market

    Royal Dutch Shell and its four partners have agreed to invest in the $31 billion LNG Canada project. The decision to build the export terminal provides a much-needed outlet for gas in a region battered by competition from U.S. drillers, which has created bottlenecks so severe that prices can occasionally go negative.

    BNEF’s Anastacia Dialynas talks with Bloomberg’s Alix Steel about Shell’s export project.

    May 4 2018

    Maggie Kuang: The Future of LNG

    The shale revolution is leading the world to a future of abundant and affordable oil and gas. In this article, BNEF’s Head of APAC LNG Research elaborates on the implications and describes the future of LNG.

    April 27 2017

    BNEF: Evolution of Natural Gas Prices

    In less than 2 minutes this video by BNEF drills in on how the changing supply and demand factors derived from the transformation in drilling technology to large weather swings have resulted in massive volatility and shifts in natural gas markets…

    Want to learn how we help our clients put it all together? Contact us

  • 认识【转基因的各种破坏力】,其实很简单,只需【化验员】扒开种植【转基因农作物】的【泥土】,拿到【化验室】在【显微镜】下面看一看其【泥土】里面还有没有【微生物】的 2019-03-22
  • 您要明白的是,如果按照上海市的人口基数2500万计算的话,就算有100万的服务人员,平均每人也要保障25个人的预约服务.人要理性 2019-03-20
  • “德国战车”成了“老爷车”? 卫冕前景令人担忧 2019-03-20
  • [鄙视]把祖宗十八代都抹除了的不孝子孙才是吃狗粮长大滴! 2019-03-19
  • 香油-热门标签-华商生活 2019-03-16
  • 第五届中国—亚欧博览会 2019-03-16
  • 2015科教频道中秋晚会《天涯共此时》 2019-03-12
  • 2018款奔驰E级购车指南 中低配是主力 2019-03-10
  • 大牌开讲了丨颈椎有“烦心事”,听骨科专家如何化解 2019-02-25
  • 香港旅发局将举办龙舟嘉年华 2019-02-20
  • 俄媒:粮食安全,我们得学中国! 2019-02-20
  • 广西首富出狱后再成云南首富 引爆广西监狱窝案 2018-12-29
  • 宝沃推全新纯电动SUV最高时速150km 2018-12-29